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Forex Fundamental Analysis

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Donald Trump as the U.S President

Wed,09 Nov 2016

At last Tuesday November 9th, 2016 gave a histrionic end to the most acrimonious U.S Presidential election by electing Donald John Trump as the new and 45th President of the United States of America for the next four years. From a total eligible population of 225 m Americans almost 130m roughly casted ballots across 50 U.S states. The results were shocking in the way that Mr. Trump and his mutineers articulated bizarre falsehoods, implemented policy points that strain credibility and broke each and every rule. The main striking thing that comes to mind is that by disregarding every orthodox insight he has no point to start listening and following now. And as like Brexit, interest group will be more atrocious about the prejudice which has now been legitimized and released against them. Trump anticipated his victory as “Brexit plus plus plus”. Under President Trump government the range of possibilities in long run flouts the fancy whereas in short run the investors should follow the Brexit playbook. As people voted for change and set on to concern about the details later. The chances that things really changes are vague while the risk of an ungodly mess under his presidency is real.

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A question mark on the independence of BOE

Sat,05 Nov 2016

An interesting event that befell on Friday 14th October, 2016 was when the governor of Bank of England replied to Ms. Theresa May the Prime Minister to not to articulate him how to sort out his job as she during her speech of party conference criticized the independent policies of BOE. The question that arises here is, whether it’s favourable for sterling Pound and England’s economy right now to let the interest rate (monetary policy) be determined only by the independent Central bank? To answer this important question a differentiation between independent and dependent central bank and its respective policy is required.

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Demand of Euro and Dollar and their expected movements

Thu,13 Oct 2016

As The EUR/USD pair is a combination of liquidity and volatility. The US dollar is both the worlds most profoundly traded and most extensively held currency. The currency of the European Union, the euro, is the worlds second most popular currency, since it contains the two most popular currencies in the world. The primary issue that influences the direction of the EUR/USD pair is the relative strength of the two economies. A faster growing US economy strengthens the dollar against the euro, and a faster growing European Union economy strengthens the euro against the dollar. One key sign of the relative strength of the two economies is the level of interest rates.

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Probabilities of Sterling to fall further according to the financiers - investors

Thu,13 Oct 2016

The Pound sterling is in deep pressure because of “Hard Brexit”. As after the mysterious flash crash on Friday, there is an expectation and fear of extreme volatility in the currency while keeping in view the governments stance of Hard Brexit. Market is now heavily positioned for the pound to depreciate further. As on Friday, information was released by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange which indicates that on Tuesday net short sterling positions is going to bounce record levels.

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